Category Archives: Palestine

Migron: Deal or no deal?

Reuters has a good feature story today on the Israeli settlement of Migron. The showdown over the fate of this so-called illegal outpost near the West Bank city of Ramallah is a big deal for the settlers, their Israeli opponents, the Palestinians and, potentially, peace process itself (or at least for the hopes of bringing something like a peace process back to life).

Here’s the radio piece about Migron we put on the air at the end of last month. What’s still not clear is how the Netanyahu government is going to come down on this thing. As the Reuters story explains, Bibi is stuck between the Israeli Supreme Court and the pro-settlement wing of his own party. The Obama administration would say there is a great deal at stake for the US here as well. But an election year is no time to talk about all that.

Peace talks are dead. Probably. Yet Again.

Israel is rounding up Hamas people in the West Bank and East Jerusalem. Nobody gave the Fatah-Hamas reconciliation effort much of a chance of actually working. And few would have bet real money that the Palestinians would manage to pull off real elections in the West Bank, Gaza and East Jerusalem later this year. But the Israelis might be thinking, let’s not take any chances. These arrests might also be a way to add pressure on Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas to stick with embryonic – and also most probably doomed – peace talks with Israel.

 

Arab-Israeli model breaks taboo

Global fashion modeling is my new reporting beat. And the picture’s not bad either, eh? I took it myself. Meet Huda Naccache, a 22 year-old model from Haifa who is the first to appear on an Israeli-Arab women’s magazine cover in nothing but a bikini. After today, I will revert back to mild-mannered Middle East correspondent.

Tuesday morning

Our quick update from yesterday’s program about the implosion of Israeli-Turkish relations.

Akiva Eldar writes that Israel’s problems with Turkey point to bigger – and more worrisome – things for the Jewish state.

Roger Cohen concurs.

Jeffrey Goldberg says outgoing Secretary of Defense Robert Gates was extremely frustrated with Israel for not doing its part to help move the peace process forward.

It turns out US intelligence agencies spy on Israel. Not shocking. But this is sort of an interesting nugget from the NYTimes piece:

Former counterintelligence officials describe Israeli intelligence operations in the United States as quite extensive, ranking just below those of China and Russia, and F.B.I. counterintelligence agents have long kept an eye on Israeli spying.

Israeli officials say Palestinian militants in Gaza have better rockets now.

Someone named Louis Rene Beres – who has written books – paints a somewhat confusing but no-holds-barred doomsday scenario for Israel if the Palestinians succeed in winning UN recognition as a state. In short, this will trigger nuclear war.

Israel & Gaza militants step back from the brink

Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu has decided against launching a large-scale military operation against Gaza for now. Egypt helped broker an unofficial ceasefire that appears to be holding for now. Here’s my radio story that went out yesterday about the atmosphere in Beersheba, which was hit by rocket fire over the weekend. Some Israelis are calling for a more robust military response against Gaza. That includes the head of the political opposition, Tzipi Livni. What she seems to be glossing over, however, is how Israel would build ties with Arab moderates while simultaneously attacking Gaza and inevitably killing civilians. Finally, here’s more on the diplomatic row between Israel and Egypt.

The will of the Egyptian revolution

Speaking in Cairo today, the leader and co-founder of Hamas, Mahmoud al-Zahar, who is from the Gaza Strip, suggested that today’s reconciliation agreement with Fatah would succeed where past attempts had failed because in part the deal represented the “will of the revolution (in Egypt).”

Zahar was asked if Hamas will maintain a ceasefire with Israel. He said that is up to the Israelis. And he repeated the Hamas line that blames Israel for the violence, saying that Hamas will hold its fire as long as Israel refrains from attacking Gaza or the West Bank.

As for recognizing the state of Israel, Zahar ruled that out. He said Hamas could never recognize Israel because such a move would undermine the right of return for Palestinian refugees.

Re-opening Rafah

Egypt says preparations to re-open the Rafah border crossing with Gaza are under way. This was one of the first things Hamas called for when the Egyptian uprising began in January. That wish is apparently coming true now.

The Egyptian foreign minister – Nabil Al-Arabi – called the blockade of Gaza “shameful.” That kind of talk goes over well in Egypt. The plight of Palestinians of Gaza is a political winner there. A new Pew poll has a majority of Egyptian respondents saying the peace treaty with Israel should be annulled. Recently, large anti-Israel demonstrations took place in Cairo. Protesters waved Palestinian flags and called for the Egyptian government to cut off relations with Israel. This was the first time, I think, demonstrators were allowed to march to the Israeli embassy in the Egyptian capital and vent their frustration with the Jewish state.

Al-Arabi has said Israel need not fear, Egypt will uphold its commitment to the peace treaty with Israel. The foreign minister has explained that foreign policy in the new Egypt will mean more independence from Israeli and US security priorities. He has said Egypt wants a more “normal” relationship with Israel.

Nevermind the “diplomatic tsunami”

The Obama administration does not want to put forward its own plan for ending the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. It doesn’t want the Europeans to present their own ideas for doing so. Meanwhile, this September 2011 deadline looms, when the Palestinians aim to win recognition as a state at the United Nations.

Israel’s prime minister is sending signals that he’s thinking about doing something, but nothing that would appear to satisfy the Palestinians, Europe or the US administration. Benjamin Netanyahu is said to be mulling over three options. The Ha’aretz kicker quotes an anonymous source saying that Netanyahu views the problem as a strategic one.

“Many near Netanyahu, especially some of the advisers in his bureau, are not helping him to take the right decisions. They are convincing him there is no need to take substantive moves, and that things will be fine.”

The source added: “Netanyahu is not willing to negotiate on 1967 borders with exchange of territory, and in the end he will be faced with a UN decision on a Palestinian state in the 1967 borders, without territorial exchanges.”

 

Fighting for global recognition

The Palestinians’ drive for international recognition as a state just got another boost. This one is from the International Monetary Fund.

In response to that drive, the Israeli left has been clamoring for renewed peace talks with the Palestinians. Defense minister Ehud Barak, among others, is warning that Israel faces the prospect of unprecedented international isolation if the peace process remains stuck and the Palestinians win widespread support at the UN for their claim to statehood.

On the Israeli right, there seems to be a desire to reinvigorate Israel’s public diplomacy efforts, and to do so in a more forceful, less apologetic way (as I’ve been told).

Egypt, Israel and Gaza

Just came across this update on where Egypt is heading with regard to its relations with Israel. Good stuff from Stephen Cook at the Council on Foreign Relations, with a warning for Egyptians on Gaza:

Gaza is extraordinarily complex and the Palestinians have their own interests.  Nobody—Palestinians, Israelis, and Egyptians—looks upon Egypt’s last go around there fondly.